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These flicks are in prime position to land in the final two Best Picture
nomination slots. At this point, though, the tea leaves aren't telling anything
other than to look out for some genuine surprises when the candidates are
announced the morning of Jan. 27. It's likely that both slots will be filled by
two of the following five films.
"The Dark Knight" Pros: You keep hearing
some critics talk about how they can't find another movie to knock "Knight" out
of the top slot of their year-end 10-best lists. Will Academy members be
thinking the same thing? Plus, after lying low as the other contenders debuted
this fall, Warner Bros. is finally beginning the full-court press on this film's
campaign (meaning: they want it and believe in it). Cons:
There are still those Academy members who mumble that it's a "superhero" movie
and therefore want to automatically disqualify it. However, if enough voters are
passionate about it, that opinion could change once it's in the final five.
"WALL-E" Pros: There is no doubt that it
will be one of the best-reviewed films of the year when all is said and done.
And, more importantly, those who love it, love it.
Cons: Despite an in-your-face campaign from Disney, there
is obvious reluctance among Academy members to nominate an animated movie in the
Best Picture race. Wasn't that why the Best Animated Picture category was
created?
"Revolutionary Road" Pros: Powerhouse
performances all around, including those of big stars Leonardo DiCaprio and Kate Winslet. It also features one of the more
dramatic and memorable third acts of any film this year.
Cons: While that final stanza is impressive, the picture is
serious, strong stuff that doesn't give you a warm and fuzzy feeling when you
leave the theater. However, Paramount Vantage overcame that hurdle before with
both "Babel" and "There Will Be Blood." Is three times the charm?
"The Wrestler" Pros: A true comeback for
star Mickey Rourke, and probably the best independent film
this year. Expect it to be near the top of many critics' top-10 lists, and it
will be adored by the younger male set of the Academy (yes, they exist).
Cons: Um, Rourke. The actor has had his run in the gossip
rags over the years and is in danger of saying something inflammatory at any
given moment. Luckily for Fox Searchlight, he's supposed to be shooting a movie
in the middle of nowhere for the next month or two. You can bet they are hoping
there isn't a drinking establishment within 100 miles of the set (wishful
thinking).
"Milk" Pros: Sean Penn is getting raves for his portrayal of slain
political pioneer Harvey Milk, and director Gus Van Sant has done a fantastic job recreating
1970s San Francisco with a fraction of the budget David Fincher had on "Zodiac," which occurred in the same time period.
Cons: The film should receive respectful notices, but not
the glowing variety for which Focus was hoping. That's likely because the
picture's high point is when Milk defeats a statewide proposition at the
beginning of the film's third act. It's sad to say it, but most find his
assassination scene and the public tribute afterward anticlimactic and not as
moving as they should be.
Look for more awards season coverage on MSN Movies all the way to the
Academy Awards on Feb. 22, 2009. |